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Farmers cut grasses at a rice field in Ayutthaya province, central Thailand.
Credit: AP Photos/Apichart Weerawong

Top Story

A Dystopian Future: Crop Failure Uncertainties 

A new study highlights an increasing concentration of greenhouse gas in the atmosphere and points to the likelihood of future major harvest failures. These failures can lead to price spikes, food insecurity, and civil unrest, and would consequently increase the number of people facing hunger by 80 million in less than 30 years. Experts warn that without immediate action, this dystopian future will become reality. 

Council Insights 

Inspiring Action

"Food insecurity is very much dependent on the power structures. It’s usually the marginalized communities who are the ones suffering from food insecurity,” said Hannah Bernstein in episode 10 of Youth in Agriculture: Transforming Local Food Systems. Listen in or read the transcript on our website

Research fellow Brandy-Joe Milliron works in the garden at Downtown Health Plaza in Winston-Salem, N.C. Food and Agriculture
AP Photos/Gerry Broome
Play the podcast
Inspiring Action: Getting Youth Involved in Agriculture
PODCAST Youth in Agriculture: Transforming Local Food Systems
The agriculture industry must actively engage young people if there is any hope of ending food insecurity.

Food and Agriculture 

Radioactive Water

UN regulators approved Japan’s plan to release formerly radioactive water from the Fukushima nuclear station, leaving Japanese fishing unions skeptical of its safety. South Korea and China maintain their long-held bans on the area’s seafood and will continue to inspect food products for radioactivity and mark their origin. 

Cartel in Control

Apatzingan, Mexico—a regional center for agricultural trade—is experiencing inflated food prices. The Viagras cartel has increased prices by requiring “protection payments” from farmers and ranchers, raising the cost of goods from their standard rate elsewhere in Mexico. 

Single Crop Summer

The Thai government has requested farmers limit their rice to a single crop following below average rainfall and El Niño conditions. Causing declining rice and sugar outputs, the rapidly changing weather conditions foreshadow inflation and rising food and animal feed prices in Southeast Asia. 

Deeper Dive  

Why Is a Drug Cartel in Control?

Apatzingan, Mexico has long been dominated by the Viagras cartel. Tolerated by the Mexican government, the cartel is able to extort locals with minimal consequences. Although the 2013 to 2014 armed farmers’ movement kicked out one cartel and offers locals some hope for change, the extracted cartel was simply replaced with another one; reviving an armed civilian resistance to drug cartels is unlikely to be successful. 

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Resilience 

Shrub Victory

Sheep and cattle farmers in Australia are planting an elite variety of saltbush to supplement feed during dry conditions caused by the El Niño weather cycle. The variety is known for its higher nutritional value, improved palatability for livestock, and its ability to regenerate saline or infertile land. 

DC Report 

Immigration Shortage

DeSantis’ sweeping new immigration law in Florida criminalizes undocumented immigrants and their employers, causing a shortage of seasonal agricultural laborers who are hesitant to return or are fleeing the state. Farmers are expressing concerns over the labor shortages, saying that they cannot run their farms without immigrants

Big Actors 

Green Ammonia

The world's leading producer of nitrogen fertilizers has committed to reducing greenhouse gas emissions and securing global food supplies. The company aims to achieve a 30 percent reduction in scope one and two emissions by 2030, and achieve carbon neutrality across all scopes by 2050. One of the key strategies is producing clean ammonia, which is made using renewable and carbon-free hydrogen in an electrolyzer. 

Big Ideas 

Soil Sequestration

Marginal improvements to agricultural soil worldwide can contribute to keeping global warming within the 1.5 degrees Celsius target. Farming techniques that enhance long-term fertility and yields can store more carbon in soil—storing just one percent more carbon in approximately half of the world's agricultural soil could absorb approximately 31 gigatons of carbon dioxide annually, keeping global temperature changes within 1.5 degrees Celsius. 

Ask an Expert  

 The Mexico-US dispute over genetically modified corn is raising concerns about the safety of genetically modified organisms (GMOs). Are GMOs safe? What are their potential benefits? 

"Scientists have emphasized that the benefits of GMOs outweigh any risks, despite challenges with consumer acceptance. Genetic modification has the potential to produce crop varieties that generate more food, have better nutritional content, and require less land, water, and pesticides to grow. This could be a much-needed solution to the challenges that population pressures and climate change pose for food security.” 

— Research Assistant Kailey Griffith in Mexico's GM Corn Ban Is about More Than Biotech

Kailey Griffith
Former Research Assistant
Kailey Griffith is pictured in a maroon shirt and is smiling looking into the camera outside at Millennium Park
Kailey Griffith joined the Chicago Council on Global Affairs in 2023 and was formerly a research assistant for the Center on Global Food and Agriculture.
Kailey Griffith is pictured in a maroon shirt and is smiling looking into the camera outside at Millennium Park

Have a question about food and agriculture? Ask one of our experts at the Center on Global Food and Agriculture to get an answer in next week's Global Food for Thought!

Council Events

Senator Cardin speaks at a Senate Finance Committee hearing on June 8, 2021.
Reuters
PAST EVENT VIDEO
Senator Ben Cardin discusses his view of America’s role in the world and shares insights from his work on the US Senate Foreign Relations Committee and the US Helsinki Commission.

Did you miss one of our previous livestreams? Don't worry! They are all available on our website to watch at any time.

Other Upcoming Events

Research Findings on Resilience and Social Cohesion in Burkina Faso and Niger 
Date: July 11
Time: 9:00-10:30 a.m. ET

Youth-Led Farm Tour: Grant Park 
Date: July 12
Time: 5:00 – 5:30pm CT

Becoming Friends with Plants 
Date: July 21
Time: 10:00 – 4:00 p.m. ET 

2023 UN Food Systems Stocktaking Moment 
Date: July 24 – 26

Regenerative Agriculture and Food Systems Summit 2024 
Date: March 19 – 20 


Land Acknowledgement Statement

The Center on Global Food and Agriculture recognizes it occupies the ancestral land of the Kiikaapoi, Peoria, Kaskaskia, Bodwéwadmi, and Myaamia people. Indigenous communities around the world disproportionately experience the pressures of climate change, global conflicts, and the COVID-19 pandemic, while simultaneously stewarding 80 percent of the world’s biodiversity. These Indigenous tribes and nations are the original owners of this land and continue to be systemically erased by policies and practices that ignore their histories. To learn more about Indigenous foodways and practices, check out our 2022 blog series "Stewardship, Sovereignty, and Solutions."

About the Authors
Natalie Burdsall
Former Communications Officer
Natalie Burdsall is pictured from the shoulders up, smiling into the camera, wearing a black blazer over a green button-down shirt.
Natalie Burdsall joined the Chicago Council on Global Affairs in 2022 as the communications officer for the Center on Global Food and Agriculture. In this role, they promoted the work and impact of the Center to expand public engagement in global food and agriculture, and assisted in bringing the Council’s digital transformation to fruition.
Natalie Burdsall is pictured from the shoulders up, smiling into the camera, wearing a black blazer over a green button-down shirt.
Molly Shields
Intern, Center on Global Food and Agriculture
Headshot of Molly Shields.
Molly Shields joined the Chicago Council on Global Affairs as a 2023 summer intern with the Center on Global Food and Agriculture.
Headshot of Molly Shields.
Katie Wilberding
Intern, Center on Global Food and Agriculture
Headshot of Katie Wilberding.
Katie Wilberding joined the Chicago Council on Global Affairs as a 2023 summer intern with the Center on Global Food and Agriculture.
Headshot of Katie Wilberding.